Effects of environmental variability on recruitment and bioeconomic modelling in the Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax caerulea) fishery from Magdalena Bay, Baja California Sur, Mexico
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3989/scimar.2010.74n1025Keywords:
Pacific sardine, recruitment, environment, fishery management, bioeconomic model, uncertaintyAbstract
Ricker's stock-recruitment equation, including the multivariate ENSO index (MEI) as an environmental variable, was fitted to data of the Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax caerulea) fishery from Magdalena Bay, Baja California Sur, Mexico. The equation was then incorporated into an age-structured, bioeconomic model. Uncertainty was incorporated by using environmental fluctuations; seven-year projections, equivalent to one sardine generation, were computed. Five management options were considered in the projections: open access, effort at maximum sustainable economic yield (fMSE), catch at maximum sustainable yield (CMSY), equivalent effort level applied in the year 2004 (f2004), and an arbitrary catch quota of 40000 tons (CQ40000). Projection results were summarised by the indicator Net Present Value (NPV) of the fishery for the modelled period. The strategies that involved some regulation in the effort level (fMSE and f2004) yielded the largest NPV. On the other hand, the strategies that involved regulation of the catch predicted—in addition to a lower NPV—a substantial increase in the effort to achieve the desired catch level. This study is the first bioeconomic approach for a sardine fishery management plan in this region.
Downloads
References
Arreguín-Sánchez, F. – 1996. Catchability: a key parameter for fish stock assessment. Rev. Fish. Biol. Fish., 6: 221-242.
Caddy, J.F. and R. Mahon. – 1995. Reference points for fishery management. FAO Fish. Tech. Pap., No. 347, Rome, Italy.
Casas-Valdez, M.M. – 1987. Distribución en tiempo y espacio de las especies de sardina y macarela en Bahía Magdalena, B.C.S., México. Inv. Mar. CICIMAR., 3(2): 11-30.
Cisneros-Mata, M.A., M.O. Nevárez-Martínez and M.G. Hammann. – 1995. The rise and fall of the Pacific Sardine, Sardinops sagax caeruleus Girard, in the Gulf of California, Mexico. Rep. CCOFI., 36: 136-143.
Cole, J. – 1999. Environmental conditions, satellite imagery, and clupeoid recruitment in the northern Benguela upwelling system. Fish. Oceanogr., 8(1): 25-38. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2419.1999.00091.x
De Anda-Montañez, J.A. – 2001. Análisis bioeconómico de la pesquería de atún aleta amarilla (Thunnus albacares) del Pacífico oriental tropical. Ph.D. thesis, UNAM.
De Anda-Montañez, J.A., J.C. Seijo and S. Martínez. – 1994. Reclutamiento y variabilidad ambiental en la pesquería de sardina monterrey (Sardinops sagax) del Golfo de California, México. Invest. Pesq. (Chile), 38: 23-36.
De Anda-Montañez, A. and J.C. Seijo. – 1999. Bioeconomics of the Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) fishery in the Gulf of California, México. Rep. CCOFI, 40: 170-178.
FAO. – 1995. Precautionary approach to fisheries. Part 1: Guidelines on the precautionary approach to capture fisheries and species introductions. Elaborated by the Technical Consultation on the Precautionary Approach to Capture Fisheries. FAO Fish. Tech. Pap. 350 (Part 1), Lysekil, Sweden. Rome, Italy.
Félix-Uraga, R. – 1990. Crecimiento de Sardinops sagax caerulea en Bahía Magdalena, México. Inv. Mar. CICIMAR., 5(1): 27-31.
Félix-Uraga, R. – 1992. Composición por edades de la sardina monterrey Sardinops caeruleus capturada en Bahía Magadalena B.C.S., México, de 1981 a 1991. Inv. Mar. CICIMAR., 7(1): 9-13.
Félix-Uraga, R., R.M. Alvarado-Castillo and R. Carmona-Piña. – 1996. The sardine fishery along the western coast of Baja California, 1981 to 1994. Rep. CCOFI., 37: 188-193.
Félix-Uraga, R., V.M. Gómez-Muñoz, C. Quiñones-Velázquez, F.N. Melo-Barrera and W. García-Franco. – 2004. On the existence of pacific sardine groups off the west coast of Baja California and southern California. Rep.CCOFI., 45: 146-151.
Francis, R.I.C.C. and R. Shotton. – 1997. “Risk” in fisheries management: a review. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 54: 1699-1715. doi:10.1139/cjfas-54-8-1699
Guisande, C., J.M. Cabanas, A.R. Vergara and I. Riveiro. – 2001. Effect of climate on recruitment success of Atlantic Iberian sardine Sardina pilchardus. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 223: 243-250. doi:10.3354/meps223243
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. – 1992. Quantitative fisheries stock assessment: choice, dynamics and uncertainty. Chapman and Hall, New York.
Mann, K.H. and J.R.N. Lazier. – 1991. Dynamics of marine ecosystems: Biological-physical interactions in the oceans. Blackwell Scientific Publications. Boston, Massachussets.
Martínez-Aguilar, S. – 2006. Modelo dinámico de la pesquería de sardina monterrey (Sardinops caeruleus) del Golfo de California, México. Ph.D. thesis, Centro Interdisciplinario de Ciencias Marinas, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, México.
Morales-Bojórquez, E. – 1999. Análisis del error de proceso y de observación en la estimación del reclutamiento de la sardina del pacífico, Sardinops sagax caeruleus (Girard), en la costa suroeste de la Península de Baja California, México. Cienc. Mar., 25(4): 597-608.
Morales-Bojórquez, E. – 2002. Teorema de Bayes aplicado a la estimación del rendimiento de la sardina Monterrey (Sardinops sagax caeruleus Girard) de Bahía Magdalena, Baja California Sur, México. Cienc. Mar., 28(2): 167-179.
Morales-Bojórquez, E., V.M. Gómez-Muñoz, R. Félix-Uraga and R.M. Alvarado-Castillo. – 2003. Relation between recruitment; sea surface temperature, and dependent-density mortality of the Pacific sardine (Sardinops caeruleus) off the southwest coast of the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico. Sci. Mar., 67(1): 25-32.
Nevárez-Martínez, M.O., E.A. Chávez, M.A. Cisneros-Mata and D. Lluch-Belda. – 1999. Modeling of the Pacific sardine Sardinops caeruleus fishery of the Gulf of California, Mexico. Fish. Res., 41: 273-283. doi:10.1016/S0165-7836(99)00023-5
Palomares-García, R., A. Martínez-López, R. De Silva-Dávila, R. Funes-Rodríguez, M.A. Carballido-Carranza, R. Avendaño-Ibarra, A. Hinojosa-Medina and G.A. López-Ibarra. – 2003. Biological effects of El Niño 1997-98 on a shallow subtropical ecosystem: Bahía Magdalena, Mexico. Geofís. Int. 42(3): 455-466.
Ricker, W.E. – 1954. Stock and Recruitment. J. Fish. Res. Board. Can., 11(5): 559-623.
Ricker, W.E. – 1975. Computation and interpretation of biological statistics of fish populations. Bull. Fish. Res. Board Can., 191.
Schmid, A.A. – 1989. Benefit-Cost analysis: A political economy approach. Westview Press, Boulder, Colorado.
Seijo, J.C. – 1986. Comprehensive simulation model of a tropical demersal fishery: red grouper (Epinephelus morio) of the Yucatan Continental Shelf. Ph.D. thesis, Michigan State Univ.
Seijo, J.C. and J.F. Caddy. – 2008. Port location for inshore fleets affects the sustainability of coastal source-sink resources: Implications for spatial management of metapopulations. Fish. Res., 91: 336-348. doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2007.12.020
Seijo, J.C., O. Defeo and S. Salas. – 1997a. Bioeconomía pesquera. Teoría, modelación y manejo. FAO Doc. Tec. Pesca 368, FAORome.
Seijo, J.C., E. Pérez, M. Cabrera and D. Hernández. – 1997b. Riesgo e incertidumbre en el manejo de recursos vivos: un enfoque bioeconómico precautorio. Gestión de Sistemas Oceanográficos del Pacífico Oriental. Com. Oceanogr. Interg. UNESCO. IOC/INF-1046, 1-432.
Seijo, J.C., E.P. Pérez and J.F. Caddy. – 2004. Asimple approach for dealing with dynamics and uncertainty in fisheries with heterogeneous resource and effort distribution. Mar. Freshw. Res., 55: 249-256. doi:10.1071/MF04040
Smith, V.L. – 1969. On models of commercial fisheries. J. Polit. Econ., 77: 181 198. doi:10.1086/259507
StatSoft, Inc. – 2007. STATISTICA(data analysis software system), version 8.0. http://www.statsoft.com.
Wada, T. and L.D. Jacobson. – 1998. Regimes and stock-recruitment relationships in Japanese sardine (Sardinops melanosticus), 1951-1995. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 55: 2455-2463. doi:10.1139/cjfas-55-11-2455
Yatsu, A., T. Watanabe, M. Ishida, H. Sugisaki and L.D. Jacobson. – 2005. Environmental effects on recruitment and productivity of Japanese sardine Sardinops melanostictus and chub mackerel Scomber japonicus with recommendations for management. Fish. Oceanogr., 14(4): 263-278. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2005.00335.x
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2010 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
© CSIC. Manuscripts published in both the printed and online versions of this Journal are the property of Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, and quoting this source is a requirement for any partial or full reproduction.All contents of this electronic edition, except where otherwise noted, are distributed under a “Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International” (CC BY 4.0) License. You may read here the basic information and the legal text of the license. The indication of the CC BY 4.0 License must be expressly stated in this way when necessary.
Self-archiving in repositories, personal webpages or similar, of any version other than the published by the Editor, is not allowed.
